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	<title>America&#039;s North Shore Journal &#187; new cases of swine flu</title>
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	<description>An on-line magazine supporting the Ninth Amendment</description>
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		<title>Is Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 in Decline in the U.S.?</title>
		<link>http://northshorejournal.org/is-swine-flu-or-novel-h1n1-in-decline-in-the-us</link>
		<comments>http://northshorejournal.org/is-swine-flu-or-novel-h1n1-in-decline-in-the-us#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Jun 2009 04:44:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chuck Simmins</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Influenza]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Original writing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pandemic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reporting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Swine Flu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CDC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[new cases of novel H1N1]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[new cases of swine flu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[novel h1n1]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trend for novel H1N1 cases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trend for swine flu cases]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://northshorejournal.org/?p=12232</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The media has quoted spokesmen for the CDC several times as suggesting that the outbreak of swine flu or novel H1N1 is in decline in the United States. I have taken the CDC's reports from May 12 to date and graphed the numbers of new cases reported each time. The average increase for the 26 days is 708 cases per day. The trend line shows very clearly that the outbreak is not waning.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style addthis_" addthis:url='http://northshorejournal.org/is-swine-flu-or-novel-h1n1-in-decline-in-the-us' addthis:title='Is Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 in Decline in the U.S.? ' ><a class="addthis_button_preferred_1"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_2"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_3"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_4"></a><a class="addthis_button_compact"></a></div><p><strong>For an update on this post, please <a href="http://www.examiner.com/examiner/x-18444-Rochester-Infectious-Disease-Examiner~y2009m11d24-Fall-wave-of-Swine-Flu-declining-in-United-States" target="_blank">see this article</a>.</strong></p>
<p>From June 6, 2009:</p>
<p>The media has quoted spokesmen for the CDC several times as suggesting that the outbreak of swine flu or novel H1N1 is in decline in the United States. I have taken the CDC&#8217;s reports from May 12 to date and graphed the numbers of new cases reported each time. The average increase for the 26 days is 708 cases per day. The trend line shows very clearly that the outbreak is not waning.</p>
<div id="attachment_12233" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 455px"><a href="http://northshorejournal.org/LinkedImages/2009/06/CDC New Cases for June 5.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="http://northshorejournal.org/LinkedImages//2009/06/cdc-new-cases-for-june-5-sm.jpg" alt="New cases graphed from the CDC reports of swine flu or novel H1N1. Click on the image for a larger graph." title="cdc-new-cases-for-june-5-sm" width="445" height="304" class="size-full wp-image-12233" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">New cases graphed from the CDC reports of swine flu or novel H1N1. Click on the image for a larger graph.</p></div>
<p></p>
 <div class=’series_links’><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-or-novel-h1n1-cases-in-the-united-states-june-5-2009' title='Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 Cases in the United States June 5 2009'>Previous in series</a> <a href='http://northshorejournal.org/new-orleans-mayor-nagin-quarantined-in-china' title='New Orleans Mayor Nagin Quarantined In China'>Next in series</a></div><div class=’series_toc’><h3>Table of contents for Swine flu outbreak 2009</h3><ol><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-outbreak' title='Swine Flu Outbreak'>Swine Flu Outbreak</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/who-press-release-on-swine-flu' title='WHO Press Release on Swine Flu'>WHO Press Release on Swine Flu</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/new-swine-flu-cases-in-kansas' title='New Swine Flu Cases in Kansas'>New Swine Flu Cases in Kansas</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-update-04-26-2009' title='Swine Flu Update &#8211; 04-26-2009'>Swine Flu Update &#8211; 04-26-2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/canada-has-6-cases-of-swine-flu' title='Canada Has 6 Cases of Swine Flu'>Canada Has 6 Cases of Swine Flu</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/cdc-briefing-on-swine-flu-for-4-26-2009' title='CDC Briefing on Swine Flu for 4-26-2009'>CDC Briefing on Swine Flu for 4-26-2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-update-early-morning-4-27-2009' title='Swine Flu Update: Early Morning 4-27-2009'>Swine Flu Update: Early Morning 4-27-2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-found-in-scotland' title='Swine Flu Found in Scotland'>Swine Flu Found in Scotland</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/who-declares-stage-4-influenza-pandemic-alert' title='WHO Declares Stage 4 Influenza Pandemic Alert'>WHO Declares Stage 4 Influenza Pandemic Alert</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/new-swine-flu-cases-in-california' title='New Swine Flu Cases in California'>New Swine Flu Cases in California</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-report-early-morning-4-28-2009' title='Swine Flu Report &#8211; Early Morning 4-28-2009'>Swine Flu Report &#8211; Early Morning 4-28-2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/military-flu-screening-ids-texas-swine-flu-cases' title='Military Flu Screening IDs Texas Swine Flu Cases'>Military Flu Screening IDs Texas Swine Flu Cases</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-midday-4-28-2009' title='Swine Flu &#8211; Midday 4-28-2009'>Swine Flu &#8211; Midday 4-28-2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-morning-update-4-29-2009' title='Swine Flu &#8211; Morning Update 4-29-2009'>Swine Flu &#8211; Morning Update 4-29-2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/91-swine-flu-cases-in-us' title='91 Swine Flu Cases in US'>91 Swine Flu Cases in US</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/worldwide-swine-flu-cases-from-who-4-29-2009' title='Worldwide Swine Flu Cases from WHO 4-29-2009'>Worldwide Swine Flu Cases from WHO 4-29-2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/suspected-h1n1-flu-case-reported-at-california-marine-base' title='Suspected H1N1 Flu Case Reported at California Marine Base'>Suspected H1N1 Flu Case Reported at California Marine Base</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-pandemic-alert-level-raised-to-5' title='Swine Flu Pandemic Alert Level Raised to 5'>Swine Flu Pandemic Alert Level Raised to 5</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/who-raises-pandemic-alert-level-to-5' title='WHO Raises Pandemic Alert Level to 5'>WHO Raises Pandemic Alert Level to 5</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-update-early-morning-4-30-2009' title='Swine Flu Update &#8211; Early Morning 4-30-2009'>Swine Flu Update &#8211; Early Morning 4-30-2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-involving-marines-in-california' title='Swine Flu Involving Marines in California'>Swine Flu Involving Marines in California</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-cases-in-the-us-4-30-2009' title='Swine Flu Cases in the U.S. 4-30-2009'>Swine Flu Cases in the U.S. 4-30-2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-cases-in-the-united-states-may-2-2009' title='Swine Flu Cases in the United States May 2, 2009'>Swine Flu Cases in the United States May 2, 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/who-count-of-swine-flu-cases' title='WHO Count of Swine Flu Cases'>WHO Count of Swine Flu Cases</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/us-swine-flu-cases-for-may-1-2009' title='U.S. Swine Flu Cases for May 1, 2009'>U.S. Swine Flu Cases for May 1, 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/mexican-swine-flu-testing-catching-up' title='Mexican Swine Flu Testing Catching Up'>Mexican Swine Flu Testing Catching Up</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/worldwide-swine-flu-update-5-3-2009' title='Worldwide Swine Flu Update 5-3-2009'>Worldwide Swine Flu Update 5-3-2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-update-for-the-united-states-5-03-2009' title='Swine Flu Update for the United States 5-03-2009'>Swine Flu Update for the United States 5-03-2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-in-texas' title='Swine Flu in Texas'>Swine Flu in Texas</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-in-california' title='Swine Flu in California'>Swine Flu in California</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/worlwide-swine-flu-update-for-may-4-2009' title='Worlwide Swine Flu Update for May 4, 2009'>Worlwide Swine Flu Update for May 4, 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/worlwide-swine-flu-update-for-may-5-2009' title='Worlwide Swine Flu Update for May 5, 2009'>Worlwide Swine Flu Update for May 5, 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-update-for-the-united-states-may-6-2009' title='Swine Flu Update for the United States May 6 2009'>Swine Flu Update for the United States May 6 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/illinois-swine-flu-case-count-leaps' title='Illinois Swine Flu Case Count Leaps'>Illinois Swine Flu Case Count Leaps</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/us-swine-flu-case-count-up-45-may-5-2009' title='US Swine Flu Case Count Up 45% May 5, 2009'>US Swine Flu Case Count Up 45% May 5, 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-h1n1-update-for-may-7-2009' title='Swine Flu H1N1 Update for May 7, 2009'>Swine Flu H1N1 Update for May 7, 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/united-states-swine-flu-h1n1-update-for-may-9-2009' title='United States Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Update for May 9 2009'>United States Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Update for May 9 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/worldwide-swine-flu-update-for-early-morning-may-11-2009' title='Worldwide Swine Flu Update for Early Morning May 11 2009'>Worldwide Swine Flu Update for Early Morning May 11 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/united-states-swine-flu-h1n1-update-may-11-2009' title='United States Swine Flu H1N1 Update May 11 2009'>United States Swine Flu H1N1 Update May 11 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-h1n1-update-for-may-13-2009' title='Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Update for May 13, 2009'>Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Update for May 13, 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/united-states-swine-flu-h1n1-update-may-14-2009' title='United States Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Update May 14 2009'>United States Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Update May 14 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-h1n1-update-for-the-united-states-may-15-2009' title='Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Update for the United States May 15 2009'>Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Update for the United States May 15 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/colds-and-influenza' title='Colds and Influenza'>Colds and Influenza</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-h1n1-update-for-the-united-states-may-18-2009' title='Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Update for the United States May 18 2009'>Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Update for the United States May 18 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-h1n1-world-report-may-19-2009' title='Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 World Report May 19 2009'>Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 World Report May 19 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-h1n1-in-new-york-may-19-2009' title='Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 in New York May 19 2009'>Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 in New York May 19 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-novel-h1n1-update-for-the-united-states-may-20-2009' title='Swine Flu &#8211; Novel H1N1 Update for the United States May 20 2009'>Swine Flu &#8211; Novel H1N1 Update for the United States May 20 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-novel-h1n1-weekend-summary-may-23-2009' title='Swine Flu &#8211; Novel H1N1 Weekend Summary May 23 2009'>Swine Flu &#8211; Novel H1N1 Weekend Summary May 23 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/warning-about-swine-flu-h1n1-may-23-2009' title='Warning About Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 May 23 2009'>Warning About Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 May 23 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/agencies-hide-swine-flu-cases' title='Agencies Hide Swine Flu Cases'>Agencies Hide Swine Flu Cases</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/lost-swine-flu-h1n1-cases-in-the-united-states' title='Lost Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Cases in the United States'>Lost Swine Flu &#8211; H1N1 Cases in the United States</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/lost-swine-flu-cases-for-may-28-2009' title='Lost Swine Flu Cases for May 28 2009'>Lost Swine Flu Cases for May 28 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/novel-h1n1-or-swine-flu-cases-in-the-united-states-may-29-2009' title='Novel H1N1 or Swine Flu Cases in the United States May 29 2009'>Novel H1N1 or Swine Flu Cases in the United States May 29 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-weekend-update-united-states-may-30-2009' title='Swine Flu Weekend Update &#8211; United States May 30 2009'>Swine Flu Weekend Update &#8211; United States May 30 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-or-h1n1-in-the-united-states-june-1-2009' title='Swine Flu or H1N1 in the United States &#8211; June 1 2009'>Swine Flu or H1N1 in the United States &#8211; June 1 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/world-swine-flu-novel-h1n1-cases-for-june-3-2009' title='World Swine Flu &#8211; Novel H1N1 Cases for June 3 2009'>World Swine Flu &#8211; Novel H1N1 Cases for June 3 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-or-h1n1-in-the-united-states-for-june-3-2009' title='Swine Flu or H1N1 in the United States for June 3 2009'>Swine Flu or H1N1 in the United States for June 3 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/world-swine-flu-or-h1n1-cases-june-5-2009' title='World Swine Flu or H1N1 Cases June 5 2009'>World Swine Flu or H1N1 Cases June 5 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-or-novel-h1n1-cases-in-the-united-states-june-5-2009' title='Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 Cases in the United States June 5 2009'>Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 Cases in the United States June 5 2009</a></li><li>Is Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 in Decline in the U.S.?</li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/new-orleans-mayor-nagin-quarantined-in-china' title='New Orleans Mayor Nagin Quarantined In China'>New Orleans Mayor Nagin Quarantined In China</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-or-novel-h1n1-in-the-united-states-june-8-2009' title='Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 in the United States June 8 2009'>Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 in the United States June 8 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/why-public-health-agencies-lack-funds-to-fight-swine-flu' title='Why Public Health Agencies Lack Funds to Fight Swine Flu'>Why Public Health Agencies Lack Funds to Fight Swine Flu</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/pandemic-flu-announcement-to-come-on-wednesday' title='Pandemic Flu Announcement to Come on Wednesday'>Pandemic Flu Announcement to Come on Wednesday</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-or-novel-h1n1-in-the-united-states-june-10-2009' title='Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 in the United States June 10 2009'>Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 in the United States June 10 2009</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/pandemic-swine-flu-or-novel-h1n1-official-pandemic-as-of-6-pm-gmt' title='Pandemic! Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 Official Pandemic as of 6 pm GMT'>Pandemic! Swine Flu or Novel H1N1 Official Pandemic as of 6 pm GMT</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/swine-flu-parties' title='Swine Flu Parties'>Swine Flu Parties</a></li><li><a href='http://northshorejournal.org/how-to-prevent-catching-swine-flu' title='How to prevent catching Swine Flu'>How to prevent catching Swine Flu</a></li></ol></div>]]></content:encoded>
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