Posts Tagged ‘economic recovery’

U.S. unemployment for June 2010

Monday, July 5th, 2010

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has this to say about the employment / unemployment situation in June 2010:

In June, about 2.6 million persons were marginally attached to the labor force, an increase of 415,000 from a year earlier. (The data are not seasonally adjusted.) These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey.

Among the marginally attached, there were 1.2 million discouraged workers in June, up by 414,000 from a year earlier. (The data are not seasonally adjusted.) Discouraged workers are persons not currently looking for work because they believe no jobs are available for them. The remaining 1.4 million persons marginally attached to the labor force had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey for reasons such as school attendance or family responsibilities.

Click on the graph for a larger image.

GRAPH ONE:

Unemployment in the United States through June 2010

This graph shows the combination of people unemployed and those listed as discouraged from January 2008 through June 2010. This is the “true” unemployment rate since discouraged workers are no longer counted by the BLS as unemployed. Discouraged workers are no longer looking for work.

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GRAPH TWO:

Graph of U.S. unemployment from January 2008 through June 2009

This line graph shows the total “true” unemployment from January 2008 through June 2010 along with a line representing the trend for the period.

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GRAPH THREE:

True U.S. unemployment from January 2009 through June 2010

Graph three shows the same data as graph two, only in the period January 2009 through June 2010, President Obama’s current tenure. The trend line for the period is also shown.

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GRAPH FOUR:

Graph showing the last twelve months of true unemployment in the United States
The last twelve months are shown on this graph of the “true” unemployment in the United States, with a trend line.

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GRAPH FIVE:

Graph of true unemployment in the United States for 2010

This graph shows the “true” unemployment in the United States for the year 2010. The trend line appears flat, suggesting that unemployment may not change in the next several months.

Unemployment represents the people without jobs who are looking for work. “True” unemployment adds those people who have given up looking and are not employed – hence the term “discouraged”.

The number of discouraged workers is at its highest level since the category began being tracked in 1994. Here is a graph from the BLS website illustrating the situation.

BLS graph of numbers of discouraged workers 1994-2010

Record numbers of people no longer looking for work and not included in the unemployment figures touted by the Administration represents a serious economic issue, as well as a political one.

White House claim: On the Road to Recovery

Tuesday, June 15th, 2010

This is what our President has on the White House website as this story is written:

Here are some graphs that more accurately portray the road we’re on.

The graphs clearly show that the trend of “true” unemployment, the standard unemployment number plus the number of those who are discouraged and no longer looking for work, is not turning a corner. 2010 numbers show that there is still an increasing number of “true” unemployed despite the Census hirings.

The number of employed month to month means nothing if the number of unemployed does not go down.

South Baghdad Economy Booming Again

Friday, June 6th, 2008

Welcome to Andrew Sullivan’s readers. A “war widow” could be the result of the 11 year war with Iran, the first Gulf War or the current conflict. Please don’t make the assumption that all war widows are recent.

When Capt. Shawn Carbone first took a good look at the south Baghdad area economy, he found it similar to his studies of America during the Great Depression of the 1930s.

“Most of the historically strong businesses were gone, said Carbone, economics team leader for the Baghdad-7 embedded Provincial Reconstruction Team. “The owners had left; packed up. The businesses were shut down and there was mass unemployment across the board.”

There were many reasons for the economic troubles of Iraqis in the area which 2nd Brigade Combat Team, 3rd Infantry Division, took control of in June 2007. The basic lack of security forces left a gap which al-Qaida terrorists filled, using the area as a base. Farms and businesses were damaged and violence caused many to flee – some of whom have yet to return. Sectarian strife heated up following the 2005 elections, which left many in the area without a voice in government. Basic service needs, such as electricity and water, went largely unmet. Until security was restored, citizens felt isolated.

Carbone saw an opportunity to help turn things around. His training in economics at Niagara University, in his hometown of Niagara, N.Y., prepared him for the task of helping the citizens of south Baghdad province.

“It’s rewarding because it’s an experiment in economics,” Carbone said. “This is from the ground up. It’s much like our depression-era economics. I’ve actually sent e-mails to my professors, asking them their opinions on some of these things, and researched books on depression-era economics.”

After security was established, the biggest obstacle to economic recovery, said Carbone, was the centralized nature of the economy in the past. Local industries such as a chicken hatchery, a poultry processing plant and a meat processing facility, for example, received inputs from and sold their goods to the Iraqi government at set prices.

“Cooperation is the biggest thing. From where I sit, these businesses are complimentary,” Carbone said. “But they never had a capitalist society, which is all about bringing down costs.”

Now the government is in a state of transition and moving toward free trade.

“Everyone is going through the change,” Carbone said. “Some of the government systems are not yet in place, but that’s where we’re heading.”

Micro Grants

In an effort to revive the local economy, the Baghdad-7 ePRT worked in conjunction with 2nd BCT Civil Affairs, using money as their main tool. Armed with U.S. Department of State and U.S. Agency for International Development funds, Soldiers and civilians on the Baghdad-7 ePRT looked for projects which would benefit the community as a whole. Civil affairs Soldiers used their battalion’s bulk funds to stimulate individual small businesses through a series of $2,500 microgrants. Though most of the projects focused on agriculture, which dominates the local economy and employs the largest percentage of people, other avenues were explored as well.

Major Douglas Betts, commander of Company A, 415th Civil Affairs Battalion, said Soldiers on the ground identified who could best use the grants.

“The troop commanders and company commanders are all very smart guys,” Betts said. “They know what they’re doing, and they know what’s best for their areas.”

Microgrants were given to businesses ranging from chicken farms to internet cafes. Most recently, a women’s beauty parlor opened up in Arab Jabour, something that would have been impossible in that area until recently.

Women’s Sewing Co-ops

Betts said Soldiers have found other creative ways to involve women in business. One example he gave was women’s sewing cooperatives, which grew out of women’s committees looking for ways to employ themselves and raise revenue for their causes.

“Capt. (Trista) Mustaine in the ePRT did a great job with sewing co-ops. That’s a new one to me,” Betts said.

“One (co-op) that I know is basically made up of war widows,” Betts said. “These ladies want to do something for orphans and school children. They are actually making clothes and selling them. I thought that was pretty original.”

The only condition that comes attached to the microgrants is that business owners attend business training and meetings of their local business associations, Betts said. The formation of local business associations has been vital in helping citizens to help themselves, he said. The focus now is in getting business owners weaned off of coalition force funding and to get them working with their own government.

Basil Razzak, a bilingual, bicultural adviser with the Baghdad-7 ePRT, said that it took some adjusting for local farmers and businessmen to get used to the new economic model.

“Up until now, it was all supervised by the government. Everybody belonged to the government,” Razzak said.

“I remember at one business association meeting, the chairman said, (to Carbone) ‘You are our boss.’ He said, ‘I’m not your boss. I’m here to help you and support you, but it’s your organization and you can conduct your meeting as you like,’” Razzak said.

Razzak, a Canadian citizen who grew up in Baghdad and holds a degree in administration and economics from the University of Baghdad, said the capitalist spirit is slowly but surely taking hold here.

“They are open to new ideas, Razzak said. “They realize the era of state-owned business is gone. They are willing to work and cooperate.”

Carbone said the stimulus coalition forces provided to the local economy has already produced unexpected results. As more businesses reopen and new ones appear, local entrepreneurs have taken it as a sign that it’s okay to open shop again.

“When they start to see these places opening with the help of coalition forces, some of the people have come back and opened up on their own,” Carbone said. “That’s something we didn’t expect.”

One business owner who received significant coalition help has been encouraged to invest even further in his business. The owner of a meat-processing plant in Arab Jabour received a grant to get his facility running again after shutting down operation in 2006. Prior to that, the factory employed more than 90 people.

“Even though we gave the kupa factory a grant, the owner pitched in $200,000 of his own money. The money is out there,” Carbone said. “The biggest thing was that when the owner came back to the area and saw that the security situation had changed progressively, he was more willing to re-invest and start over,” he said.

Betts sees signs that businesses have returned to stay in the area.

“I’ve noticed it in the short time that I’ve been here,” Betts said. “When we first went out, there were some shops, but there weren’t that many. But I’ve noticed in the past several months, in Sayafiyah especially, a lot more of those businesses. They look better and they’re repainted. People are repairing their shops and restocking supplies.”

Betts said the greatest benefit of the renewed prosperity was a population that was employed and able to meet their needs.

“That’s the key to security. People that are able to take care of themselves and their families are not out there planting bombs and killing people for money,” Betts said. “I want to see a strong economy, because that’s the cornerstone of stability.”

DVIDS
By Sgt David Turner
2nd Brigade Combat Team, 3rd Infantry Division

Throw Out Your American Experience part 2

Thursday, January 31st, 2008

This is the second part of my interview with Brigadier General Edward Cardon, Deputy Commanding General (Support) Multi-National Division-Center(MND-C), one-on-one. We last talked in a Bloggers’ Roundtable on January 24.

The General explained the governmental structure. The national ministries still set priorities for the nation. That control is exercised in ways as minor as how much gasoline is delivered to the local fuel station or how much fertilizer a farmer receives. The provincial governments do not control the process. Instead, director generals are appointed by the national government in each province to act as the representatives of Baghdad.
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