Final Election Prediction

2008 election prediction map

Here’s my final prediction. 270 needed to win. Real Clear Politics has the tool to create this map. Remember that you only need to win by one vote to win all the electoral votes in the state. I’ll predict the final percentages for votes cast, anyway. McCain 50.9% Obama 48.8%


One Comment to “Final Election Prediction”

  1. Carbon Monoxide says:

    “Remember that you only need to win by one vote to win all the electoral votes in the state.”

    This is not true of all states. The Constitution allows each state legislature to designate a method of choosing electors. Forty-eight states and the District of Columbia have adopted a winner-take-all popular vote rule where voters choose between statewide slates of electors pledged to vote for a specific presidential and vice presidential candidate. The candidate that wins the most votes in the state wins the support of all of that state’s electors. The two other states, Maine and Nebraska, use a tiered system where a single elector is chosen within each Congressional district and two electors are chosen by statewide popular vote. U.S. presidential elections are effectively an amalgamation of 51 separate and simultaneous elections (50 states plus the District of Columbia), rather than a single national election.