Is there a risk of a mosquito borne illness outbreak in New York City? The answer, based upon history, is yes.
The existing data suggests that the incidence of microcephaly in the Gulf Coast states is elevated above the national incidence. Any future correlation between the arrival of Zika and cases of microcephaly in that region should take into account the existing high levels.
Brazil’s Ministry of Health released its latest data on the “outbreak” of microcephaly in that nation. From October through March 19, 2016, the Ministry has received 6,671 reports of children born with microcephaly. Nearly 36 percent of those cases have been investigated.